The Better Guess
How predictions work, from first principles.
Most watched
Pick a number from 0 to 100. The cleverest answer loses.
Watch on InstagramNewest
A website lists computer memory, cheapest first. Does the seller at the very top make theInstagram›
One sick traveller reaches a town of 1,000. Nobody does anything. How many catch it?Instagram›
A real estate agent sells two houses on the same block: a client's, and their own. Which oInstagram›
A poll of one town asks 1,000 people. How many for all of America?Instagram›
June 1944. 160,000 soldiers, a storm coming. Go, or wait?Instagram›